The majority of the world's countries, as well as organizations including NATO, the European Union, and the Council of Europe, have strongly condemned Russia's actions. Read More As of September 2022, the truce has been extended multiple times. On April 15, 2022, Russia officially protested the United States' supplying of weapons and ammunition to Ukraine. The Afghanistan Conflict: What Concern is doing Copyright 2022. Nutrition Assistant Simon is pictured leading an educational session. More than 100 nations worldwide have been affected, a UK-based global strategic consulting firm says Countries worldwide are experiencing an "unprecedented" rise in the potential for civil. Halima Hashi, a refugee from Somalia, raises awareness of the rights of women and girls in Helowyn refugee camp in southern Ethiopia. Saudi Arabia intervened in support of Hadi in early 2015, leading a coalition of Asian and African countries, with intelligence and logistical support from the United States. In April 2022, the two sides in this conflict agreed to a two-month truce, which could be extended indefinitely (two months at a time) into the future. Just 21 peace agreements were signed in 2020, the fewest since the Cold War. Executive Summary: Roe v Wade was overturned by Supreme Court, Political Conspiracy Theorists, China-Taiwan, and Ukraine-Russia War, Supply Chain disruptions, and global economic disparities. Odessa is the last Ukrainian port city still controlled by Ukraine. By Feb. 24, 2022,, Russian forces had taken control of the Chernobyl nuclear power facility. On April 04, 2022, the United Nations General Assembly voted to remove Russia from the United Nations' Human Rights Council. Refugees arriving from neighboring countries (many of which are on Watchlist 2022) would add to the 800,000 already living in Ethiopia, where humanitarian response is compromised by access constraints. Moreover, reports came of Russian soldiers who chose to surrender rather than fire upon Ukrainians, whom they regarded as countrymen (because Ukraine is a former Soviet Republic). With humanitarian access heavily restricted in many areas, Yemenis will face increased needs in 2022. The Ukrainian people, urged to resist by President Volodymyr Zelensky, fought with great conviction and effectiveness. Libya 0.87: Since the state's dictatorial ruler Colonel Muammar Gaddafi was deposed in 2011, Libya has failed to stabilise politically, and like several nations on this list, has become a hotbed of activity for ISIS. Two days later, Ukraine declared a nationwide state of emergency. Concern Worldwide has been responding to the crisis in Syria since 2013. 1. 7. The fraction of countries experiencing large spikes in this index, which typically reflect major unrest events, rose to around 3 percent in February. Spread the love. It indicates the ability to send an email. The world is facing an unprecedented rise in civil unrest as governments of all stripes grapple with the impacts of inflation on the price of staple foods and energy, according to the latest edition of our Civil Unrest Index (CUI). 3. Although socioeconomic pressure has already given rise to protests across the world, the next six months are likely to be even more disruptive. In countries where there are few effective mechanisms for channeling popular discontent, such as a free media, functioning unions and independent courts, the threshold for populations to take to the streets is likely to come down. There are many possible reasons for war to begin betweenor more often, withinnations. Political volatility threatens peacemaking efforts in Darfur, South Kordofan and Blue Nile. Burundi 2.05: Burundi is one of the poorest countries on earth, has suffered through two major civil wars in the last few decades, and in 2015 saw a failed coup attempt after President Pierre Nkurunziza stood for a third term in office. 10. Despite these demoralizing attacks, Ukraine rejected Russia's demand to surrender Mariupol by the morning on Monday, March 21, 2022. Over 5 million Congolese people are internally displaced within the country, representing the third largest population of internally displaced people (IDPs) in the world. In addition, there is the ECM turning point of March 14, 2022. Mariupol's mayor told news organizations that the Russians were intent upon destroying the city and had dropped more than 100 bombs on Mariupol in a single day. Security personnel are under-resourced and ill-prepared to deal with the rising insecurity. . Syria 0.33: Just five or six years ago, Syria was a prosperous, reasonably stable nation, often cited as a jewel in the conflict-riddled Middle East, but years of civil war and the rise of ISIS mean that Syria now tops the Civil Unrest Index. This will help us to determine a complete response to the rapidly-evolving situation. Civil War 2.0 On Hold: Russia, Russia, Russia. 2022 casualties (estimate): 15,000-20,000 "The Arab Springthat was linked to global food prices," says Jones. A quarter of all countries experienced a dramatic surge in civil unrest last year in a worrying trend that is likely to continue into 2020, researchers have found. Learn more about our conflict response and how you can help 1. Learn more about the IRCs South Sudan response. Related As of the evening of Feb. 25, 2022,, Russian forces had also overtaken an airfield near Kyiv and were expected to take control of the city within days, if not hours. Nationwide protests sparked . "The MENA region had the most significant decline in violent demonstrations, with total unrest falling by 60 percent and the number of riots falling by 50% from 2011 to 2018. Darifa (18) with her 10 day old daughter, Lenka. Peter, 2, benefits from the IRC's nutrition program in Northern Bahr El Ghazal, South Sudan, after he and his mother were displaced by flooding. Rank for womens equality: 165 of 170 countries. Whatever the true cause, the loss of the Moskva, a flagship of the Russian fleet, is said to have triggered "increasingly hostile" conflict in Ukraine's southern regions. However, humanitarian access in CAR has deteriorated over the last year due to escalating conflict. Recession fears are mounting and inflation is expected to be worse in 2023 than in 2022. On March 29, 2022, Russia announced it would "drastically reduce" its attacks on the cities of Kyiv and Chernihiv as part of ongoing peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. Russia also announced that it had chosen to sanction U.S. President Joe Biden, White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki, Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin, and several other high-ranking U.S. officials. Read more in the full 2022 Emergency Watchlist report. Type: Civil War Reconsider travel to Ecuador due to civil unrest and crime. Conflict between the various ethnic factions in Myanmar began in 1948, the year the country gained independence from the UK, and has continued in varying degrees ever since, making this the longest civil war in the world. The South Sudan crisis: What Concern is doing Political tensions in Kinshasa could set the stage for violent clashes leading up to the 2023 general elections. Sudan, meanwhile, has overtaken Yemen to become the highest risk country globally. The military removed civilian leaders in October 2021, and the resulting political uncertainty could destabilize peace efforts with armed groups. Peace talks between Russia and Ukraine continued as of March 17, 2022, with one of the key points being Russia's insistence that Ukraine not join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO). He also talks about Soros and defund the police. Ukraine also announced that the Ukrainian Air Force command center had been struck by cruise missiles, causing considerable damage. The war in Afghanistan has been on and off since 1978. Through our emergency program in Ouaka last year, 2,501 people took part in Cash-for-Work activities. For decades, one of the worlds deadliest, longest-running crises has been unfolding in the Democratic Republic of Congo. Many Russian tanks ran out of fuel and were abandoned. However, peace talks continued and arguably contributed to Russia's March 29, 2022 announcement that it would de-escalate its attacks on the northern cities of Kyiv (Ukraine's capital) and Chernihiv. This did not in any way answer the questions of the ethnic groups submerged into the three (3) major languages/ethnicity. Here are the stories behind eight countries in conflict in 2022, and how Concern is responding to the needs of civilians most severely impacted by the violence. We are prompted to ask that question following last week's report from risk analysts predicting increased global civil unrest in the coming months over soaring food and energy prices. Ukraine claimed it had struck the ship with a missile, while Russia claimed the sinking was due to an onboard fire that set off stored ammunition. 4. Almost half of all the countries on the CUI are now categorised as high- or extreme-risk, and a large number of states are expected to experience a further deterioration over the next six months. Concern also supports the establishment of mother support groups, and 49 health facilities that work to deliver lifesaving interventions and supports communities in implementing integrated Community Case Management (iCCM) of malaria, pneumonia, and diarrhea to ensure that children can receive treatment for the three major killer diseases. Over the next three years, the IRC plans to scale up its humanitarian assistance in both the northeast and northwest. In Cameroon, Anastasie, 10, demonstrates to a friend how to properly wash her hands to protect against COVID-19. On April 22, 2022, Russian officials revealed that Russia's goal was to take control of the southeastern portion of Ukraine. In August 2021, the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (commonly known as the Taliban) took control of Afghanistan. An escalation in what the UN is calling "violent civil unrest" in Haiti, and the subsequent blockading of roads across the country, is making it " very challenging for humanitarian partners to provide assistance " according to the UN Spokesperson, Stephane Dujarric. A government offensive to retake territory outside its control in Idlib could put 3 million people at risk. An incipient illegitimacy crisis is under way, whoever is elected in 2022, or in 2024. These are useful to increase your protection if you don't have heavy plastic and duct tape that you can use instead. In 2022, the worlds youngest country will enter its tenth year of protracted conflict. Currently, we support programs in health, nutrition, education, water and sanitation, and protection for women, men, girls and boys who are internally displaced and in host communities. Less than 40% of NGO operations are currently continuing due to a lack of safe access, Concerns Country Director Elise Ponson said in 2021. Photo: Khalid Alarabi/IRC Population: 44.9 million People in need: 14.3 million People internally displaced: 3 million Sudan enters 2022 facing multiple challenges. Download PDF Full Report Espaol Related Tags Over 70 countries expected to see an increase in protests over next two years Businesses do not have to be direct victims of civil unrest to suffer financial losses. Unit LL- C9 Often, countries' leaders become primary motivators of conflict by instigating a territorial dispute, trying to control another country's natural resources, or exercising authoritarian power over people. The IRC relaunched its programs in Sudan in 2019, which currently include water and sanitation services and integrated protection support for women and child refugees. African conflicts to watch in 2022. Tension between clashing political parties in Ethiopia escalated into a violent civil war in November 2020. Concern has already earmarked over $220,000 for Ukraine, but that is a fraction of what will be needed to address the needs of the millions seeking refuge. Please make a gift now to support the IRC's life-changing work in Watchlist countries and worldwide. Our Emergency Response program in Burkina Faso, in partnership with Alliance2015 members, is designed to improve access to essential, quality health and nutrition services that are able to adapt to the evolving nature of this crisis. Maintaining a very rapid emergency response, our turnaround time is generally 2 days for assessment and distribution. Civil unrest correlations. It shows that unrest was elevated during late 2019, coincident with widespread protests in Latin America. The Sahel Crisis: What Concern is doing More than 12 years of conflict and militant activity in northeast Nigeria has garnered global attention, but unrest and insecurity are spreading in other parts of the country too. While conflict remains far lower than the peak in 2013-2014, the World Food Programme warns that food insecurity is at its worst levels since independence, underscoring the combined impact of natural shocks, COVID-19 and long-term damage to South Sudans economy. While Putin offered no proof of any nuclear or biological weapons in Ukraine, U.S. officials warned of the possibility of "false flag" operations in which Russian forces would launch chemical weapons themselves in an attempt to frame Ukraine. The report makes the case for political and structural reforms that will create respect for international humanitarian law, expand universal jurisdiction to prosecute war crimes, reduce the role of social media in amplifying conflict, and ensure people in need have access to lifesaving services. Despite ongoing sporadic protests, government stability in Iran remains in the low-risk category as a result of the states significant repressive capacity. Last year, in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo, we worked with over 140,000 people displaced by the ongoing crisis to improve their living conditions and their livelihoods. Any attempt by Islamic State Khorasan (IS-K) to take advantage of the shift in power portends violence and civilian harm. Learn about the worlds worst crises and what can be done to help. Despite record humanitarian need, less than half of all required humanitarian funding has been received this year (47%). Although the negative trend is less marked than for civil unrest, rising food and energy prices will make it more difficult for governments to manage popular discontent. Russia remained a permanent member of the United Nations Security Council, however, a situation that many, including Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky, have claimed undermines the organization's credibility and effectiveness. For. In late July 2022, the US military estimated 15,000 Russian troops killed and 45,000 wounded, and an August estimate raised the collective number to 70,000-80,000 for both KIA and wounded. The number of countries rated extreme risk in the Civil Unrest Index has also jumped by 66.7%; from 12 in 2019 to 20 by early 2020. This work made nearly 100 miles of road more accessible to vehicles, and injected nearly $150,000 into the local economy. The world is bound for more disruption and unrest in the next six months, an intelligence firm said. In response to deepening humanitarian needs across the country, we are implementing emergency and development programming in North Kivu and Tanganyika. Unrest then fell markedly during the early stages of the pandemic as voluntary and involuntary social distancing struck. (Photographer: Chris de Bode). With the support of the public, we are there to help those in need, says Concern Worldwide CEO Dominic MacSorley said. The sanctions appeared to be largely symbolic, however, as Psaki noted half-jokingly that the U.S. officials had no Russian vacations planned and no Russian bank accounts they would no longer be able to access. The International Rescue Committee has released its 2022 Emergency Watchlist, a global list of humanitarian crises that are expected to deteriorate the most over the coming year. IRC teams support early childhood development and provide counseling and protection services for women and children, particularly for survivors of violence. Type: Civil War/Terrorist Insurgency The need now is more urgent than ever. This article will use the Uppsala Conflict Data Program definition, which described war as "a state-based conflict or dyad which reaches at least 1000 battle-related deaths in a specific calendar year." Physicians for Human Rights reported almost 300 attacks and threats against health workers and facilities between February and October 2021, most carried out by the military; access to health services is severely limited or out of reach for many across the country, especially in areas affected by conflict. Type: Invasion (defender) That's the biggest increase since. Series: Working Paper No. Take a deeper dive into the Yemen crisis. 2022 casualties (estimate): 13,646 In a recent incident, six people died during clashes between police and protesting teachers. Combining analysis of 66 different indices and databases with insights from the IRCs over 30,000 staff and volunteers working in crisis zones around the world, the Watchlist scores countries at risk for human threats (political instability, armed conflict, economic collapse) and for natural threats (floods earthquakes, disease). 1829 - Cincinnati riots of 1829, August 15-22, Cincinnati, Ohio. The United States and other allies offered significant military and humanitarian aid to Ukraine while also imposing all manner of trade boycotts and other economic and political penalties upon Russia. Unsurprisingly, Sri Lanka experienced the biggest decrease in government stability as protests driven by deteriorating socioeconomic conditions forced the resignation of President Gotabaya Rajapaksa in July. It is estimated that the war on drugs has led to at least 350,000 deathswith more than 72,000 people still missingfrom January 2006 to May 2021. Categories: Civil Unrest Tags: 2022, Civil Unrest, Defund the Police, Italy, Switzerland Concern deployed a small emergency response team to Krakow, Poland, to conduct an initial assessment of the situation on February 28, 2022. The top 10 crises the world should be watching in 2021, Crisis in Somalia: Aid workers hampered as needs rise, The top 10 crises the world should be watching in 2020, Crisis in Ethiopia: Climate change meets conflict. Civil Unrest in Africa Unpacked. The Mexican Drug War is an ongoing conflict between the Mexican government and multiple powerful and violent drug trafficking cartels. Since 2015, 229 schools and 148 hospitals have been damaged during fighting or used for military purposes. Supporters of President-elect Mauricio Macri wave Argentinian flags in the street celebrating after he defeated ruling party candidate Daniel Scioli in . Mexico 2.19: Mexico has seen several incidents of major civil unrest in recent years, with drug cartel violence one of the most prevalent issues. By many accounts from those still living in the country, the violence of conflict is not confined to bombing, missile attacks, and the destruction of cities and infrastructure. Its analysis said the risk of civil unrest has increased in 101 of the 198 countries it tracked. Here are five things to know about the South Sudan crisis. Subscribe. Kutupalong refugee camp is home to Rohingya refugees who have fled conflict and violence in Myanmar. As of May 2, 2022, Ukrainian forces were continuing to regain territory. This means that you might get dragged in large crowds of locals that are quite violent. Estimates for the number of Russian troops lost thus far in the country's "special military operation" in Ukraine vary widely, with Russia claiming a mere 5,000 casualties and Ukraine claiming 50,000. Erin Drake writes that protests over climate change, anti-vaccine mandates and anti-austerity measures will remain disruptive, and in some cases gain ground through 2022. Only a significant reduction in global food and energy prices can arrest the negative global trend in civil unrest risk. We also provide support to youth, children and survivors of sexual violence in addition to community-level engagement to promote peaceful coexistence. This means an increased risk of violence and armed incursions. 2022 casualties (ACLED estimate): 5,548 This is especially true for women and girls. Get_ty Global banks and investment firms are bracing themselves for an "unprecedented" upsurge in civil unrest in the US, UK and Europe as energy and food price spikes are set to drive costs of living to astronomical levels. Civilian casualties due to violence arent the biggest killer, however. On April 14, 2022, the Russian guided-missile cruiser Moskva sank in the Black Sea. There is an enduring risk of a major military offensive targeting areas outside government control. As long as our staff and facilities are safe and secure, we remain committed to reaching those left furthest behind. High hydrocarbons earnings have made it easier to postpone unpopular austerity measures, but rising inflation and more frequent and intense droughts will start to make themselves felt more strongly over the coming months. This replaces the previous Travel Advisory issued on April 19, 2022. According to analysis by Verisk Maplecroft, the drivers of unrest are manifold: 24 February 2021 Asad Ali Carla Selman Chris Suckling, Ph.D. Dr. Marie Lechler Jordan Anderson Zaineb al-Assam. The IMF's Reported Social Unrest Index attempts to do so by counting media mentions of words associated with unrest across 130 countries. The fate of the theater's inhabitants was unknown, as the entrance had become blocked by rubble. Concern has been in South Sudan since the beginning and then some. Venezuela - 144. Concern entered the Central African Republic in 2014 with an overall goal of providing humanitarian assistance and (where possible) long-term development strategies in conflict-affected communities. There might be some demonstration, so what? Soaring food, energy, and shelter inflation have led to what could be a new era of civil unrest worldwide. 1831 - Nat Turner's slave rebellion, August 21-23, Southampton County, Virginia. Concern Worldwide hosted the Inaugural Boston Reception on October 27th at the University of Massachusetts Club. 9. Since early 2011, the Syrian conflict has resulted in enormous suffering for millions of people, uprooting an estimated 11.5 million Syrians. That's the. Despite development advances in recent years, Afghanistan remains an extremely volatile and fragile country following nearly four decades of instability. In the 2010s, the U.N. Security Council veto was used more than twice as much as in the 1990s, mostly in conflicts where Council members have a direct interest (for instance, Syria). Since then, the IRC has expanded its work to provide health care, protection, womens protection and empowerment, and water and sanitation, as well as shelter and emergency relief materials to newly displaced populations. The Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED) estimates that Afghanistan has experienced more than 2,700 casualties in 2022. Places such as Sri Lanka, Peru, Kenya, Ecuador, Iran, and Europe have all recently experienced pockets of unrest. In recent years, the IRC has become a leader in womens protection and empowerment in Afghanistan. Since early 2011, a civil conflict in Syria has resulted in enormous suffering for millions of people. Verisk Civil Unrest Index Projections, 75 countries will likely see an increase in protests by late 2022. According to the Verisk Civil Unrest Index Projections [1], 75 countries will likely see an increase in protests by late 2022,resulting in, for example, a higher frequency of unrest and more damage to infrastructure and buildings. Post-Democratic America Or Civil War Is Now Inevitable December 12, 2021 In "Cold Civil War". The 2022 Emergency Watchlist was compiled before the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The outlook is most bleak for the 34 countries that face significant deterioration by August 2022. For example: The IRC is calling for significant changes to the global humanitarian system, not only in how organizations and governments allocate and spend funds, but also in how they confront conflict actors who use hunger as a weapon of war and civilian suffering as a tool of control, writes David Miliband. Los Angeles, CA 90064, Catastrophic Flooding in Pakistan, Give Now to Support Concern's Emergency Response, it has seeped into every aspect of Syrian life. Learn more about the famine threat in East Africa. Earlier this year, Rockefeller Foundation President Rajiv warned that a "massive, immediate food . (Photo: Gavin Douglas/Concern Worldwide). Sub-Saharan Africa had the greatest increase, followed by Europe, South Asia, South America, Central America and the Caribbean, Asia-Pacific and Russia and Eurasia. Most Watchlist countriesthe top ten in particularhave experienced almost non-stop conflict over the last decade, hampering their ability to respond to global challenges like COVID-19 and climate change. Casualty estimates have been complicated by the facts that millions of Ukrainians have become homeless refugees and that Russia has deported thousands of prisoners of war (both soldiers and civilians) back to Russia. After officially recognizing the separatist Ukrainian regions of Donetsk and Luhansk on February 21, 2022, Russian President Vladimir Putin sent troops into Ukraine on what he termed a "peacekeeping" mission, which escalated to a large-scale invasion on Feb. 24, 2022. Russia has also made it illegal for the press to offer any opinion or information that does not directly support the highly partisan and factually inaccurate official government stance on the invasion. ), Displaced families, and in particular women and girls, are disproportionately affected by the crises, which are more than a series of unfortunate events, stresses David Miliband, IRC president and CEO. Yemen drops from the top of the IRCs Watchlist. Iranian police have beaten a 14-year-old schoolgirl, Parmis Hamnava to death after she tore away the portraits of the country's founder Ruhollah Khomeini out of her school . After she finishes high school, she hopes to become a doctor. These challenges are compounded by the limited capacity of communities, government and humanitarian actors to withstand the impact of repeated natural disasters including floods, landslides, earthquakes, and drought. New York, NY, 10017, 332 S Michigan Avenue It had reportedly broken cease-fire agreements, admitted to launching thermobaric rockets, hypersonic missiles, and banned anti-personnel mines and cluster munitions, the uses of which may be considered war crimes. Myanmar 2.25: Myanmar has one of the biggest income gaps in the world, with a Wealth X report in 2014 showing that the country's poor are one of the most marginalised groups on earth. Increasing evidence exists of mass graves in Mariupol and other locations, and that Russian troops may be executing POWs. The move was widely rejected by countries including France and Germany. Around March 20, 2022, NATO and U.S. officials also warned that Belarus, which lies to Ukraine's north, may soon join the war on behalf of Russia. 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